The Housing Market: The Good, The Bad, And The Ugly

If you find yourself in a quiet market It's not recommended to be in a rush to conduct property exchanges. It is better to resign contracts and examine the possibilities of.

To transfer lease holders to wraps:

Contact your leaseholders and set the stage with them by telling them, "I am presuming that in time, you'd want to own this house, as I can see in your mind's eye that being a homeowner is important for you."

If you receive a positive answer from your agent, it's easier for you to talk about how uncomplicated it is to complete the paperwork for ownership, also known as a wrap. Then, make clear that you want to start the paperwork process now so that it will easily be accepted by solicitors later on.

If they don't wish to move right away It's best to have the paperwork started and organized so whenever they're ready you'll have everything ready to go.

Let them know that they're likely be assured as always sine their monthly repayments are set or can be lowered down; then you'll also collaborate with them to negotiate their wrap repayments and trying to get those lowered than the lease payment they currently pay. Always keep in mind that lower monthly payment amounts are always a fantastic incentive to lease owners, which is why they're intrigued to move from leasing to a wrap.

Whenever you come to an end point when you're unable get the wrap payments lower than the lease's option payments and they decide to continue the lease. Transferring them to a wrap contract could be beneficial than refinancing with a bank since you'll obtain one final payment as well as a lump sum to purchase the house.

In the meantime, tell them again that they've always dreamed of owning an apartment of their own. It's also a good idea to increase the emotional impact of the conversation by discussing the transfer of ownership to their names and also that it's a greater step as they're investing in their home.

In the case of buying a house, it's best to replace the contract's "access clause" to another term , like an "unlimited right to inspection" clause. This can make people nervous because it appears like they're required to provide access to their property regularly. When you have the other, "unlimited right to inspection" it is recommended that you explain to them that the plumber or one of your inspectors may need to come back at least a second time or three times. A majority of people will agree with this kind of clause. It's an excellent option to gain access to your house.

1. Analysis of Today's Market

2. Update On Gold

3. Real Estate Prices In South Florida

4. Real Estate Nationwide

5. Yield Curve Is Still Inverted

6. What does this mean to you?

1. Analysis of today's market

If you are an analyst in economic and real estate market, one must be patient and wait to see what unfolds and to see if the predictions made by one are correct or wrong. There is no way to tell if they will be right or not However, they must possess an appreciation for it , so that they're conscious of the reality of the market.

In March of 2006, my eBook How To Prosper In the Changing Real Estate Marketplace. Protect Yourself From The Bubble Now! https://www.joeschembri.com/meet-the-team In the short term, it was predicted that the real estate market will drop dramatically and turn into an enormous drag on the economy. We are seeing this slowdown right now and the economy that is not too far from slowing too. In the past, history has proven that an increase in the construction market has nearly always brought about an economic recession across the entire history of the United States.

Let's look at what is taking place in these sectors to discern what we can from them: Gold, Real Estate in South Florida, Real Estate Nationwide, Yield Curve/Economy and see what this means for you:

2. Gold

If you have read this newsletter and/or the eBook You know I am a big fan of gold investment. Why? Because I believe the US dollar is in serious financial peril. However, gold has also increased against all world currencies but not only it's US dollar.

Why is gold rising? Gold is a neutral version of currency. It cannot be printed by any government entity and hence it's a long -term hedge from currency decline. James Burton, Chief Executive of the Gold Council, recently said: "Gold remains a very important reserve asset for central banks since it is the only reserve asset that is no one's liability. It is thus a defense against unknown contingencies. It is a long-term inflation hedge and also a proven dollar hedge while it has good diversification properties for a central bank's reserve asset portfolio."

I'm in complete agreement that I agree with the views of Mr. Burton 100%. I believe that we might experience a gold bubble again and that is why I've invested in gold in order to profit from the possibility of a bubble (Think about the prices of real estate around 2002. Wouldn't you have preferred to had more real estate at the time?)

I previously recommended that you buy gold at a price that was between $580 and $600 per ounce. Currently, gold is trading for $670 to $670, rising by over 10% from the levels I recommended. However, gold has some serious technical resistance at the $670 mark and if it is unable to break through that level it might fall in the near-term. If it does drop to the $620 - $640 level, I like the price at these levels for a buy. I think gold will hit $800 per ounce by the close of 2007.

3. Real Estate in South Florida

Real property located in South Florida has been hit badly by this recession since it was one of the biggest advancers during the housing boom. The rising prices of homes for sale on the market and the extraordinary number of new construction projects happening in the region, and the rise of interest rates are three of the major factors of the slowdown.

For every home that sold in the South Florida area in 2006 in 2006, an average of 14 didn't sell, as per data from the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) figures. The number of houses available for sale nearly doubled to 66,000 after which sales dropped to their lowest level for 10 years.

Although the cost of homes was higher for 2006, the average asking price for homes for sale in December was down around 13 percent compared with a year ago. Between 2001 and 2005 the cost for a single-family property in Miami-Dade rose by 120 percent to $351,200. This is similar to the situation at the time in Broward County. The issue is that the wages at that period were only up by 17.6% in Miami-Dade, and 15.9 percent in Broward, according to federal statistics. This is another major cause of the slowdown - real estate costs have outpaced the earnings of potential buyers of the homes.

Another factor that helped drive price increases in South Florida boom in prices was high growth in residents in Florida. From 2002 to 2005, over a million residents have moved towards Florida and Florida also created higher number of jobs than every other state. However, the three biggest moving companies said that in 2006 marked the first year in years that they'd removed more people from the State of Florida as opposed to into it. In addition, enrollment in schools is down, which could also be a indicator that middle-class families may be leaving.

The section consisting of South Florida real estate that will be hardest hit and will be the market for condominiums. Because of their low prices than homes, condominiums make economically sense in South Florida area. But, the amount of condos in the market has tripled in the past year and will only get worse before it gets better. More than 11,500 new condos are expected this year, and 15,000 the following year with the majority the units being constructed in Miami.

As a result of the surplus of inventory, asking prices for condos are falling by 12% from 2006 Miami at $532,000. The incentives are replacing price reductions. Incentives include paying for all costs of closing, upgrades that are free and more.

Another thing to consider about the impact on South Florida real estate is the rising cost of property insurance and property taxes. These higher costs are putting more downward pressure on the real estate market.

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My strong belief is that we're just beginning to see the slowing of the South Florida real estate market and that the prices will continue to fall. Due to the fact that many real estate developers are pulling out from the market, where is the next buyers going to come from at these current rates? Unless a serious influx of new, lucrative jobs are introduced to south Florida South Florida area, real house prices, just like any asset that falls off the market after the soaring price, have one way to go... downwards.

4. Real Estate Nationwide

A report published last week from the National Association of Realtors showed that in the final three months of 2006, home sales fell in forty states and median prices for homes declined in nearly half the metropolitan areas covered. The median value of a previously owned single-family residence fell in 73 % of the 149 metropolitan areas that were surveyed during the fourth quarter.

In the National Association of Realtors report also noted that the states that experienced most declines in quantity of sales between October-December compared to the same time frame in 2005 were:

* Nevada: -36.1% in sales

* Florida: -30.8% in sales

* Arizona: -26.9% in sales

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* California: -21.3% in sales

Nationally, sales decreased by 10.1 percent during the 4th quarter compared to the period a year ago. The median national price dropped to $219,300, a decrease of 2.7 percentage from the fourth quarter of 2005.

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In the past, slower sales and cancellations for current orders have led to the number of homes unsold to increase. The homes available at the rate of sales in 2006 was 6.4 months worth which was higher than 4.4 months in 2005. It was only 4 months worth in 2004.

Toll Brothers, Inc. one of the biggest US designer of luxury houses announced a drop of 33% of orders during the quarter that ended on January 31.

Most importantly, declining home values will reduce the need for loans for mortgage equity withdrawal. In 2006 the amount of mortgage equity withdrawals was for about 2% of GDP growth. Construction added 1% to last years GDP growth, so the significance of these aspects to the wellbeing of the US economic system is staggering.

Another concern is subprime mortgages. In the present, sub-prime mortgages make up 25 percent of all mortgages, which is around $665 billion. Add to this the fact that nearly $1 trillion in adjustable-rate loans are eligible to be reset within the next two years and we will be seeing an increase in foreclosures. For instance the number of foreclosures is up five times in Denver. The foreclosures of homes go on the market and reduce property values.

The Center for Responsible Lending estimates that as much as 20% of the subprime mortgages originated in the last two years are likely to go into foreclosure. This is about five percent of the total homes sold coming back on the market for sale as "fire-sales". If only a portion of that is sold on the market, it would increase the value overall down , and the capacity to take home mortgage equity loans to drop further.

Make yourself ready for the future because you can still get great guidance from the ebook. You can purchase it through this link that is secure:

5. The Yield Curve remains inverted!

The yield curve is still inverted. In the normal market, investors get higher interest (yield) when you make longer-term investment. However, it is rare that the rates for short-term investments are higher than long-term rates like the present.

Experience has taught us the inverted curve of the yield is the most reliable indicator of the likelihood of a recession. The yield curve has been inverted since last fall, and if history is any indication, we will be in recession by the end of the 3rd quarter of 2007. In the past, we've never had an upside yield curve that didn't trigger a recession during the next 4 quarters.

Inverted yield curves do not create recessions, it's merely a signal that there's something wrong in the business.

6. What does this mean to you?

Two things can happen going forward in the market for real estate: values for real estate will increase or fall. We have seen that in the past that any asset that goes upmust also come down whether we're talking about the Dutch Tulip Market, the stock market and the gold bubble in the early 1980s or Japan's huge housing market during the 1980's, followed by a drop in values of 15 years later.

The most important aspect of the real property market is the fact that it moves up and down in cycles. It has been on an up cycle for 10 years now and it's likely that it's time to begin its down cycle.

This is the natural course of assets:

* Markets go up

* Greed and insanity are able to take over

* An overflowing form (i.e. overbuilding)

* A downturn will correct the market's excesses

This natural cycle is the same principle in "the big picture" as crash dieting occurs in "the little picture". We starve ourselves to lose 15 pounds, and this reduces our body's ability to function in short periods before it starts to increase in intensity when we return into "normal" eating patterns.

And speaking of diets, I heard about a high school pal who has lost weight following an "cookie" diet where he takes a high protein meal daily and only 6 low-fat cookies throughout the day when he is hungry. Even though he's lost weight through this 800 calories per day diet, it's hard to imagine the health benefits of be starving yourself that way. He explained to me that anytime he breaks his diet and consumes any sodium-rich food that he will gain one and a half lbs. It's a sign that your body is out of whack! Still, I suggest exercising () in conjunction with a diet low in white carbs (no white bread White pastas, white breads or moderate sugars). It works for me.